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Saturday 16 September 2017

Bisq - Decentralised Bitcoin Exchange

We have a decentralised exchange. now we just need more people to use it. Bisq is pretty awesome, the programme works well, looks nice and is free to download on your computer. It's even developed in a decentralised way.



Crypto Girls that Rock

Jamie Dimon just dissed his own daughter on national tv. What a dick!

Cryptopunks aren't like that. I've been wanting to post props for these girls for a while.
So here are some internet links to some people I think are doing good work,

Julia Toaranski, video blogger, and anarchist

Meltem Demirors, Digital currency guru

Amanda B. Johnson the Dash "Daily Decrypt" girl

and

Marguerite deCourcelle the for pink coin. They are running a crypto fundraiser for Hurricane Irma and a whole lot of other things Its actually and complete charity platform. Better get on and donate. 

Even though most of us are nerds behind computers there are some of us who are cool. Please post any I've missed below.

Segwit is in but 2x is not.

I started writing this piece before the Bcash fork and at the time I was positive about the Segwit2x compromise. Segiwit2x seemed a far better option than the BCash unlimited crowd proposed.

2mb blocks would give added quick relief for transactions and increase its practicality whilst keeping bitcoin nodes at level easy enough for anyone to run on their home computer.

Some people were up in arms about any part of increasing blocks, but with so many things lately, I think this is a bipolar sound bite like reaction. People talk about the political nature of it, as some kind of corporate take over. I am very sympathetic to this debate when it comes to block size, but I'm not fully convinced.

The fact that the signaling was agreed to by a bunch of bitcoin companies and miners behind closed doors, I think is not ideal, but I still think this represents the decentralised process that Bitcoin is founded on. Decentralisation can happen in different ways and need not always be digital.

At the time users got what they wanted with Segwit and 2mb blocks in 90 days seemed reasonable. Micro-transactions are cool and nodes are not that hard to run. Mine run on my home computer and I can still stream games and tv. I get the feeling I could probably run a node on my old cell phone. On the flip side however, when I am doing serious work on my computer even with 1mb blocks, I do not run the node as it does slow things down.

The idea of this compromise and the events that unfolded, I think, are proof that the system works politically and I think its one of the best things to happen for bitcoin yet. We could get the best of both worlds, a solid Segwit soft fork and likely a secure 2mb hard fork 90days after. This gives the ideal result for Bitcoin and provides solutions that have stood up to debate and mass technical scrutiny. As a long time enthusiast it seems like natural consensus paradise and with the price then at over $2500usd things were looking good.

In the last few weeks that optimistic thinking has proved, in typical cryptoboom fashion, not to be optimistic enough. What seemed like chaotic behaviour has proved to be very wise. Transaction fees have dropped and blocks are now remaining healthily within the segwit only size limitations. It is proving that with segwit implemented, the larger blocks of 2x will indeed not be necessary. So even the order of implementation was correct. Bitcoin has become its old antifragile self, and the value has nearly doubled since.

Further to the success of segwit, the closed-door meeting agreement is beginning to show signs of weakening. The old world legal administrative structure, which blockchain does also in part propose to solve, has shown its flaws. The traditional written contract used for the 2x compromise, stated that there would be "single chain" for the 2x implementation and many people are saying that this make it void. We now have the bitcoin fork Bcash and we have no guarantee that the 90 day 2x deal will be able to prevent a new fork when it is made. We should have known that the language of contracts is not like the math involved in our decentralised bitcoin system.

Change proponents now know that they should hard code in their changes and that closed door deals are unlikely to work. It turns out the trustless system is the only one that can be trusted.

Wednesday 6 September 2017

Nuclear Proof Money

Trace Mayer talks about how bitcoin is the only sound form of money that can not be confiscated by force. You can hold agun to someones head but if they dont give you the code, or tell you the co signatories whom hold the other parts of the multisignature then you can't get the funds. There are no profit driven third parties to comondeer, no way to intimidate pottentially anonymous holders and no way to incircle and confiscate something that doesn't have to exists anywhere but in mathematics.

The concept is a lot simpler when we consider the situation of a nuclear attack. you cant blow up bitcoin with an H bomb, but cash, banks, stocks and even property and gold can become radio active and useless. 'Hopefuly we never see this, but prepers would be wise to get there bitcoin stash and satelite phone ready.


Tuesday 29 August 2017

The Golden Fork

We have been dining out on a Bitcoin bull market. Crypto currencies are consolidating and the stock market is in decline. What was once a scary proposition, the hard fork, is now revealing itself as something else. The golden fork.

Anyone who had bitcoin a month ago now owns Bitcoin (worth $4200 at the time of writing) and Bitcoin Cash (worth $700) SO That's a gain. a win win, in fact, something to look forward to.

Now we have a potential third fork on the horizon with the second half of the Segwit2x agreement, the 2x part. I think that this will actually ramp the price of Bitcoin up.

Due to the relative success of Bitcoin Cash (also called BCash, BCC, BCH) the forking phenomenon could well also become a greater trend. Exacerbating the benefits from getting into Bitcoin early.

We will be creating a triple star formation. I previously illustrated a binary star analogy to describe the working of the blockchain into user and miners threads. The third star will be for Bitcoin industry companies. This dilutes the counter balance of and I think reduces the threat to the user blockchain

It is a bright future for Bitcoin. Etherium ICO frenzies are taking a step back. The new crypto bull market might be on the fork.


Saturday 19 August 2017

What If China Stops Renewing US Bonds and Buys Bitcoin?

China has over 1 trillion USD in United States government treasuries. Currently the most in the world. What if China decided it didn't want to hold them anymore.

As an exporting country this could be difficult as repatriating the USD to Yuan would put the price of the Yuan up which in turn would stifle exports, but what if instead of this it simply bought Bitcoin with the USD.

The price of Bitcoin in USD would go up. This would make it hard for US citizens to get buy bitcoin. China's Bitcoin stash could then be used for its general public in the international markets.

This would be a major conspiracy, but if it should happen, the Bitcoin price should be at least 16.4 times what it is today just based on market cap. That's a price of at least $69371 USD.  This is the next moon  What if any other countries should follow? there are significant inc incentives for countries to do this.

Monday 14 August 2017

Bitcoin Proliferation is also great for American Macro Economics

There was a few months this year where, for the first time in recent history the bitcoin price in USD was leading the market. This has been rare, in the past the Chinese have seemed to be much faster to get exited about spikes in the bitcoin price,

IN February I was planning to write this post and had just finished a post about how good bitcoin is for Chinese macro. Time has flown by, but the story of how bitcoin can actually be good for the USA, as a government, has actually become more clear. Legislation and media are even getting behind it.

The idea behind why its good is pretty basic. Although this is Pluto like speculation, why not bullet point it;
  • The USA has a lot of debt to foreign countries in USD.
  • The strong USD doesn't really help the US industrial exports especially that lead to trade deficits.
  • Other countries hold large reserves in USD which give them some leverage over the country (China's 3 Trillion odd USD in bonds, Switzerland's giant US stock stash) 
  • The average American also has plenty of personal debt.
  • Money printing and inflation can be used and abused in the transition period
So.... Why not just forget about that old money and just start a fresh?

Some people might logically think it could be the best thing you could do . The benefits could be;
  • No more national debt
  • Good exports with minimal disruption, leading to more jobs
  • No leverage from foreign powers
  • Reduce the average Americans debt
  • The whole thing happened because some anonymous internet money that is totally decentralised and we obviously couldn't have seen coming, "sorry creditors, it's not our fault"
  • the government can get itself out of a difficult fiscal and macro economic position, without the hard sacrifices that might normally be needed. 
  • USA would be a first mover on what could become the new world reserve currency
I'm not saying that this is going to happen, but I am laying down the logic. It's not all bad.

The next blog on macro will be about when a smaller country might approach a tipping point.