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Wednesday 30 November 2022

RBF?

RBF (replace by fee) has been put into Core v24 release. It's a non-committing change, but it does have some pretty major consequences on large parts of the bitcoin circular economy and UI. It allows people to change their transactions to make sure that they are confirmed on the blockchain, to adjust their fee proportion after you have set and submitted it. This is useful given the fee market is constantly changing and might go up and stay up for longer periods of time when you need an important large transaction to go through. 

I think it is more controversial than it seems. I don't think that the occasional bounced transaction is such a problem for anyone and I am concerned that it moves trust from miners to the providers/sellers with account models which, as is very current lately, we obviously don't like. Zero-confirmation transfers do work on the bitcoin mainchain and do allow for near-instant transactions with a high level of certainty. They are very practical for vendors of real products and provide a good simple, private, honey pot-free user experience. People have said that they are insecure (you don't know you have the money for sure until it is "confirmed" in the blockchain), but they don't understand that there are no absolutes in this world and that they are better than many alternatives. We could ask how many confirmations it takes before you are sure?

Listen to this podcast for the details https://www.podpage.com/citadeldispatch/cd80-building-a-bitcoin-circular-economy-with-ziggamon/. The controversy is ongoing and the subject needs much more discussion. I don't want to lose Muun and Bitrefil. This is something that shadowy super coders could always do, but should there be a toggle? should it be on by default?




Lightning Cards

The Bolt Card NFC Card Creator is so freaking cool https://www.boltcard.org/




Friday 25 November 2022

Old Androids Come to Life


You can now run a full bitcoin node easily on an old android device. Dig out those tablets and solar panels lets get some mobile nodes on the road.  

Run a Full Bitcoin Node on an Android Device - BeInCrypto

Wednesday 16 November 2022

The 15 Year Old Jeabus Boys Matter

Back in the day, not so long ago a 15 year old boy makes a table and sells it to his neighbor. He makes $1000 profit.  He saves the money because he wants to be a good Christian saver has no real need for material things he doesn't already have and knows that he can get a good interest rate in a safe place. Savings frugality and hard work is admired and respected and some how this intrinsically makes sense when he looks around. 50 years later he still has that money he saved and with 12% interest its now worth 400k which in this time is, just in itself, an ok amount of money to retire on when he is 65.

In another world, a lot like the one we are in now, the same boy knows intuitively that there is little point in saving. 2% percent inflation (which is the lower bar) means that in 50 years that money will have almost completely evaporated in 50 years. So he takes the money and blows it on spray paint, booze, drugs and maybe gets a girlfriend. He really just wants to enjoy himself in the moment, retirement is irrelevant  savings is silly, you've got to spend money to make money and you've got to know some secretes and make some connections before its worthwhile working at it. People seem to spend money they don't have fast and on flashy stuff that breaks or goes out of fashion. Leverage and regulatory capture are the name of the game. This is the Fiat world,

The stark contrast between these two world is clear, and you can see the vast cultural effects of sound money. It touches so many parts of society and it also explains a lot of differences from the current world and the world of 100-300 years ago.

Very interesting but, guess what? neither of these worlds are real anymore! In the real world the effect is exaggerated for people who know about bitcoin. The 15 year old boy named Jeabus who knows about bitcoin makes a table and saves the $1000 as bitcoin. He goes straight to Bisq and writes his seed phrase on a piece of paper and in his mothers old diary and deletes the Samurai wallet from his phone. The process is easier than waiting in line to deposit it at the bank and he also knows the bank is only holding a small fraction of its deposits in reserve. The compound interest calculators online max out at 50% annual return which he knows is a low pall for his bitcoin stash. In 50 years time, his stashed bitcoin with nothing else, will be theoretically worth the equivalent to 70Trillion dollars!

$70,783,540,654,359

He's happy to save the money, keep working hard and can dream of grand glorious plans for a bright future. He is 70 trillion times belter of than a rebel without a cause. Sound money make Jeabus boys rich. 

(I think the price power parity appreciation rate of bitcoin is actually higher than what is shown here, more like 100-200% and 18% is a minimum average level because of the halvings) 

Thursday 10 November 2022

Bitcoin Doesn't like Artificial Scarcity

So its not alive actually (well at least not as we know it) but it seems that bitcoin culture which has scarcity for one thing (bitcoin) is naturally tending, because of mathematical reasons, to push out all fake sources of scarcity. 

 instance, Open source software movement, anti token and NFT sentiment, pro humanism

FTX Saga

Holly wood directors have been supplied with some dramatic new material from the altcoin scene in the last 48 hours. The latest here.  Crypto titan are fighting among their centralised cells.

You can tell an  Eth head by their explanation for the price action. Apparently, market movements are caused by Ethereum when the price goes up and buy "children" when it goes down.

Its trauma and max pain and it's making altcoiners start to sound like bitcoiners, they just don't know it yet. Reflecting on the past and the big picture. They skirt around the subject of bitcoin very difficulty here

Bitcoiners know the cycle is 4 years long. Goes with the bitcoin block reward halving. So there's hope the next one is coming,




Tuesday 18 October 2022

Bitcoin is Getting Greener and Greener

If 1/30th of bitcoin is mined from flare gas, then bitcoin will be "carbon neutral" according to current carbon neutral standards.

I think this is about to happen.

Check out Meet Crusoe Energy, Which Mines Bitcoin Using Flare Gas From Oil Drilling (businessinsider.com)

Wednesday 5 October 2022

Load the Green Financial Ray Gun of Peace


 Where you put your money is where you go. Bitcoin allows us to take control of this. I think we should cut military spending between countries and build a moon gun for global defense. 

On the dark side of the moon of course.

Every dollar saved buying bitcoin is a dollar not spent destroying the world with disposable junk and suicidal military spending. 

ECO Shills

There is so much happening at the moment in bitcoin and it is great to see real life green eco progress happening. Puts a nail in proof of stake.  

Here you can calculate how much you can save on your existing heating bill when you integrate a bitcoin minner.

MIGODI Mining Profit Calculator

Here you can see how in Kenya they are able to build a small hydro power plant to power the village and fund it with bitcoin mining. 

NickH 🛡️ on Twitter: "Our friends @GridlessCompute doing some incredibly cool work monetizing micro-hydro plants in Kenya. They build these small hydro plants @ ~100KW which is much much more than the village needs. #Bitcoin #mining #Kenya #Africa #energy 1/3 https://t.co/HdcShx6tkY" / Twitter

Saturday 17 September 2022

Boltz is ready for the Merge

With the Ethereum merge creaking in the wind. You can swap out for bitcoin on-chain or on lightning quick and easy no kyc right here at https://boltz.exchange/


Tuesday 23 August 2022

Video Calling Eachother Using Our Lightning Nodes :)

Everyone has been chasing this, Impervious, Red phone, Zues. Sphinx Chat already does it although it uses Jitsi at the moment, which is decentralised but not totally. However, zip zap Keet has beat everyone to the zoom punch. Uses "Whole Punch" to stream video peer to peer.

Check it out!  https://keet.io/

Sunday 21 August 2022

2140 Bitcoin Futurollogy

This story dives into the effects of forking and altcoins in a bitcoin world. Those who lived through the block size debates and bitcoin cash forks will have some personal experience here.

A fee market has developed for transactions ranging from one block to one year of blocks. Most all transactions happen on layer two networks. Smart contracts and DAOs are prolific mostly running on lightning rgb and and rsk. The world Mars and Venus's governance systems are all on the bitcoin blochain. 

Forking causes transaction surges. The prospect of these fee surges tend to cause some "public political" main net coins to indicate their fork choice and implementing forked coin sell-offs quickly to reduce their utxo's and loose anonymity in the process. Since information is very free and dispersed and the world isn't exactly a utopia this is a big disadvantage.

This exposes large and political organisations to various risks and over time this political behavior is reduced. So we have more forks and fewer people selling these forks early on. The prices are more stable and so this propensity not to sell forks immediately adds to the money supply. 

So we have a natural process where when there is disunity in the bitcoin system we get a short theoretic doubling of the money supply, one bitcoin for each side of the argument. Though many people will not intend on collecting this money. This disagreement is more common when the economy is not working well or when society is under stress. So it tends to happen at a time when resources are needed but when the actions needed are unclear. 

As people who are neutral, unclear or private will tend not to want to move their coins this could slow down the economy. Counter to this people with strong opinions, through the forking can get an opportunity for a financial boost. They would need to make it work quickly though as when both forks have perceived value and they are trading within their forked group with the new forked currency then the money supply increases and the economy can speed up.

Consider in 2140 that the human race is interplanetary and we are beginning to explore nearby solar systems and the resources required for exploration might stir up debate. Some people may want to put a lot of resources into covering the galaxy with human beings, others may consider this risky and destructive of nature. So politics develop. People at this stage have seemingly almost unlimited resources. Bitcoin can not control the people and what they do, so many people are just building rockets. Others who don't want this start to devote time to convincing people that this is unwise or leave to form a separate society. 

So on Earth we have politics between noninterventionist naturalist who want to be conservative at home and spendy explorers. They decide to separate financially and so we get a bitcoin fork for the spendy explorers and as you might expect it has slower blocks. Both forks hold value ok for a few years. this means that we get an increase in the money supply and its great we can fund a good amount of explorations. 

Over time the "spendy explorers" need funds to implement their expansion so at first they sell more of the opposite fork. Naturalists and in-betweeners hold both forks as it seems that the exploration is not all bad and could prove productive. Initially, let's say the unchanged "naturalist" bitcoin fork drops in price more than the explorer coin, but as explorations projects start taking longer to work out, explorers double down on their plans and end up selling their own coins to get their agendas done. Explorations expand to the point where it's not practical than the "explorer" coin drops. Everything comes back into balance. 

Tuesday 14 June 2022

Celsius Freezes Transactions

It must be cold outside, bitcoiners are laying down the dad jokes at all the crying eth heads (whilst they also shiver a little). Celcius, Ethereum darling of defi (not defi, real name dinofi) seems to be in bad shape. This will be a significant issue for the Ethereum and defi space and will ripple into bitcoin also as a lot of defi projects wrap bitcoin with Ethereum to create more stable value for their customers. It could certainly be Luna time 10. Hold on everyone, it's the roller coaster, I am buying (just bitcoin that is).



Panic Yield - A New Type of Yield in Bitcoin

Transaction volume is up recently due to the dip in price caused by Ethereum and Celcius discussed in my other posts. But when looking at my lightning node transactions are up, fees are increasing and my near-zero yield is starting to float. More importantly when you look at mempool.space you see that fees are up slightly on bitcoin. This means miners though they are making less on the value of the block reward get a little bit back to balance that with more fees. 

These two parts of the industry have a little stabilization factor. It is a new type of yield on the zero risk rate of return. I call it Panic Yield.


Sunday 12 June 2022

Meme Term, Fiat Forward vs Bitcoin Forward

Reflecting on my first lighting node a Casa pi 3 with a spinner got ne thinking about business decisions. These nodes were really revolutionary at the time. An Autopilot feature that is still not matched in user friendliness today. There apparently were some issues with the autopilot that meant it could be gamed a little, but nobody lost much money over it. It could have been patched. They were also blamed for not realising that the available technology at the time would be quickly outdated and too slow to run a strong enough LND node. I have to admit I was a bit grumpy, but made even more so when Casa decided to stop providing lightning nodes altogether.

I can only guess that it was a decision made chasing fiat. The nodes were a kind of bait for their subscription model and the fiat probably didn't add up when you looked at all the administration needed, and the possibility of having to ship new hardware, charge for it and fess up to making some mistakes. 

The bitcoin does stack up though, especially when you look at it now, they were too Fiat forward. In the long term they would have held the market share which Umbrel now has. You could create a mesh network with the pi 3 and a pi 4 and have a more powerful node that everyone would be gaga over right now. At the time, looking at the fiat you would have thought that was crazy, but looking at bitcoin you would have thought, how honourable and selfless for the cause.

Fiat forward decisions are often wrong it seems. Bitcoin forward decisions, though they may seem altruistic at first but probably the right financial decision in the long run.

Bitcoiners know that bad money leads to bad decisions.Bitcoin forward decisions are best. What is good for bitcoin is probably best for you. in the meme term

Casa still do some really good work. check them out here

Friday 10 June 2022

PoW and PoS are the New Left and Right

PoW, short for Proof of Work and POS, short for Proof of Stake, have become a political in the bitcoin crypto space.The consensus mechanisms of the protocols be fundamental to the structures and cultures they create. This is completely different to our existing political systems in one way, we are talking about autonomous computer algorithms but in another it echos the past. 

In proof of work the concept of and primary importance of work to society, this relates quite closely to what was the Labour movement or traditional left wing politics that primarily aimed to support the working person. For those in the united states its a little more fuzzy, but this is supposed to be like the current Democrats.  

Politics has become an ugly subject, corrupt to the core if you ask me, but on the right we have conservative parties of various objectives, but they generally hold the protection of property rights among their highest priority. Referring to the  Tories, National, or the Republican parties you can see that your traditional voter demographic shareholders and land owners.

Not so recently this fulcrum has begun to break down, I would argue that workers are realising that PoS type politics aren't helping them and that left wing parties are not really PoW. Both sides of politics have let money be corrupted, not balancing budgets and printing new money for themselves or certain coercive powers in times of need. This it was though had little to do with these primary tenants of worker and property rights, however in reality bitcoiners know that monetary policy is at its core. They can see this thing in politics as altcoin behaviour "PoS Shitcoinery" something in crypto that is considered just a continuation of old corrupting systems.

Why is it that people think the system of value (ie the monetary system) is so disconnected from the system of values (ie the way we form our society)? It's complex and it stinks so people don't want to talk about it but this had lead us to the uniformed nightmare that I think we see today. Bitcoiners know these things are inextricably connected. When you value work in your society you get things done and you get honour and dignity for many. When you value ownership it is not as clear what you get, ownership is more subjective than work and can be manipulated more easily through force and coercion. Work must be carried out by an individual, where ownership requires agreement of the public to enforce. Without property rights we get some-kind of disfunctional bedlam (often people would say anarchy, but that would be offensive to anarchists). We need both things to function well, but proof of stake is a slippery slope. Rent seeking and manipulative behaviours become commonplace and anything but working is fashionable among those who can afford it lead to dysfunctional bedlam also and this time with working people becoming effectively slaves. 

So government monetary policy like printing money and deficits, things closely related to inflation, are actually a political activities. At the time it happens the politicians often say they need to do it for social reasons, but these rarely have the long term effects desired and at the same time people don't realise that it destroys the future value of labour. most everyone who is working has a contract to sell their time for money. It is set in advance and so if during the course of that contract the money becomes worth less ie inflation happens then the value of the contract is reduced by that. In addition there is an expectation of ongoing employment which is exponentially devalued. This has a major impact on people well being, probably the highest impact action, because your job and your time are the most valuable thing that a working person has. It often makes the vote for a left wing or Labour party counter intuitive if they run more inflation than their competitor. Labour is supposed to be something supported as a left wing tenant so what ever the social policy may be, often it ends up counteracting itself. 

The same happens with conservative parties with often their austerity policies. they are chosen and timed in order to protect asset values and not the worker. If assets are supported it diminishes the strength of your work, because it is comparative Ie: If your house price goes up and you're wage doesn't its the same effect as what you would get with a poorly targeted social program. Austerity occurs in a coercive and corrupt way and this allows wealthy to extend rent seeking behaviours.

Understanding that governments not balancing their books or saving money and printing money when they need it destroys the value of work and labour and this has major social implications. When people ask for austerity or spending we have to ask for who and how because often it works against us. governments to be fair actually need to save money for rainy days. It makes sense and PoW vs PoS also put a clear perspective to this. It's the new, better defined, less corrupted, left and right wing politics and maybe not in the way you expected.


Ps: Bitcoin is not political, I feel I need a disclaimer here given the content obove suggests so strongly that it might be, also....  I have a new post coming up describing how Bitcoin in practise is not completely PoW. 

Thursday 9 June 2022

Wholesome Bitcoin Builders

If your not on bitcoin you are not helping enough. Saving bitcoin is saving the world. Spending bitcoin, especially with lightning is helping to.



Ethereum is Close to a Tipping Point

 

Latest comments from Vitalic are putting people on edge.

Wednesday 8 June 2022

Rouge AI Mining Robots

Not available in stores but you can buy the parts cheap in AliExpress and 3D print the rest. I found one that broke into my house and plugged itself in the other day in 2032.


PS (the Etherium merge never happened, I integrate those bots into my gaming rig, I try to catch the bitcoin ones and then flash the OS with my own)


Wednesday 25 May 2022

Worse Than Luna - Banks are Over 20x Leverage Long Their Whole Fiat Stack

With Luna and its stable coin UST crashing to near zero, Defi and digital ponzi scheme's have been in the spot light.  UST value based through a convoluted scheme on the value of Luna and an algorith to buy Bitcoin, worked great until someone with a lot of money saw that they could just sell a whole lot of Luna and Bitcoin at once whilst shorting UST. They make money on the short and can just keep adding pressure, whilst others freak out and jump on board. Something like that anyway, and its all over for people who though they had stable coins, they should have been called stable until they disappear coins. 

People generally don't comprehend the nasty position that banks have got themselves into with fractional reserve banking it is not that different to that of UST and Luna, actually it may be worse. They are just lucky they have big friends back them up in the past. 

Banks are taking deposit and loaning them out 20 times over. Giving loans to people without having funds to back it up this is like Defi based on UST (except with leverage and lower interest rates) and there is a lot of it, most people have loans for their houses, this is like shorting UST. This leverage banks against assets makes them very reliant on property and asset prices going up. If prices go up then the risk on their leverage is reduced and they get more money. If it goes down the trouble snowballs.

The traditional US dollar is what this old fashioned system works with. Like UST it needs to be held steady so that the loans and things on top of it don't get so volatile that people don't trust them. It is held up by the federal reserve which has T bills (like Luna) and also gold, let's say just in case (like USTs holdings of Bitcoin) and they can use this to defend the value of the dollar. The difference is one single person doesn't really have enough money to sell enough and short enough of these things to put the price into a death spiral.

The general public however are already short the dollar with their mortgages ( having a loan is effectively the same as beeing short). Banks are leverage long
the dollar. At the same time if loans default then banks have leveraged exposure to asset prices. So banks need asset prices to go up and the dollar to hold value, not so hot at the moment.

So the only remaining steps would be a unified public increasing mortgage debt and selling T bills and Gold. Might just happen by itself.

Monday 23 May 2022

Simplicity Script Language Coming To Bitcoin

The complex smart contracts that are the pride of coins like etherium, cardano and solana may be coming to bitcoin soon. Apparently at Blockstream it's only two weeks away;0. It will likely be much longer, but I get the feeling it might not beat the merge. You can find more details here. You can also now run a full Liquid node with a full open source stack, one click GUI on Umbrel. this app will likely include simplicity when it is launched. SUCH WOW. So many bitcoin layer 2 projects!

https://bitcoinist.com/simplicity-bitcoin-smart-contracts/ 

Saturday 14 May 2022

After June or Maybe Never

Etheriums Merge is five years late but people are still putting out positive narratives about its readyness. No mention of the community node and minner processes, but still a lead developer shills his CV website and assures the minions. The etheriums hash rate continues to go up. There may be hope for cheaper graphics cards yet! Or maybe the etherium foundation is figuring out how they can cover their funds incase the whole thing blows up. Maybe it's Pulse?

Thursday 21 April 2022

Funding Space with International Consensus


Elon Musk didn't start an altcoin yet, but things like mars coin are only the beginning of a big idea. Earth coin is also a thing, but I think we can just do it with our new found bitcoin long term perspective.

With enough of our collective effort focused in the right direction many things can be done. The problem is now our "monetary energy", as Micheal Sailor would say, is mostly controlled by financial institutions. Getting the bankers and wall street types comfortable adopting something thats endorsed by crypto anarchists can be a stretch. We see it starting to happen at the bitcoin 22 conference in Miami.

Getting the USA to work together with the Russians is an increasing challenge and NASA's SLS sits on the ground with deadlines for moon walks running out. If the government has only held onto the bitcoin confiscated from Silk Road then they might have more billions to invest, but sadly it seems that money went elsewhere. Going forward the best consensus for international projects may be in private projects and funded directly by the public.

Its all down to having people believe in the idea. I say we should jump on board and get something built on the moon using bitcoin. Not moon coin.





Thursday 7 April 2022

Etherium Classic April 1st Joke


Vitalik must be felling the sting. Proof of Authority sucks! 

https://ethereumclassic.org/blog/2022-04-01-special-announcement-april-01

Monday 4 April 2022

Bitcoin Makes More Philosophy

Supposedly Robert Breedlove is doing a Bitcoin podcast yet this episode is basically devoid of the currency. I really injoyed it, seems we are getting closer to a solid metaphysical base. Deep talk afforded by bitcoiners new found security. Philosophising is building.

https://podcasts.apple.com/nz/podcast/the-what-is-money-show/id1541404400?i=1000556099201

Sunday 3 April 2022

If it's not 2143 You Must Be Early

Big things have to happen for bitcoin to fulfil it's potential. Its not late now, there is a long way to go.

The Fed will go through a stage where they transition to talking only about the bitcoin price and not the economy. Not inflation just the bitcoin price. It will become the main factor before we get to he end of exponential growth. Across the world it's going to take decades.

Tuesday 29 March 2022

Gold, Silver and Phisical Crypto

Reading blogs from http://jpkoning.blogspot.co.uk/ can be hazardous for the uninitiated, but are entertaining for the reemergent bitcoiner. Gold is a meme in bitcoin, going to zero, and this kind of thinking is also subscribed to by Mr Koning, one of bitcoins greatest detractors. We need all this gold silver and copper to make things. You could consider it a waste using it on coins, but also how much jewlry do you need and is a shiny coin a jewel substitute.

The thing about bitcoin and for that mater altcoin physical coins is that they are generally presented in pure metals. Gold or silver or copper (often plated with gold or rhodium). 

The good thing about this physical change is that it allows people to make small face to face purchases easily or to use mechanical toys and vending machines. trade without phones or the internet. The transactions need not be on a blockchain and can be anonymous. It also puta an interesting hedged security on the value on your money. For example a one once pure silver doge coin is worth more in metal than as crypto, but if Elon Musk makes a pump in 2052 it might go the other way and so people might start melting down doggy coins.

Valuable change means the people with the small change hold the real money. In times when resources are sparse money can be melted down and digital coins used instead, this would benefit the holders of the change and this would generally skew towards poorer more economically active people. That sounds nice.


I'm done with Litecoin

http://www.trademe.co.nz/Browse/Listing.aspx?id=1038739885

Note: this sdiscussion is reffering to phisical coins which include private keys hidden somehow inside them or that can be exchanged for actual crypto.


Sunday 27 March 2022

Lightning ATMs are Here

One of the challenges with Bitcoin and crypto currency ATMs is that the confirmation times for transactions on blockchain can be long and this poses a security risk, especially relevant when fees are high or going up randomly. This new machine by Bleskomat might solve this forever!

https://www.bleskomat.com/#feature-instant-payments

Wednesday 23 March 2022

Redphone


An exciting opensource project on the bitcoin lightning network will let you make phone calls directly from lightning node to lightning node.

https://github.com/pseudozach/redphone

Monday 21 March 2022

Sunday 20 March 2022

Currency Wars on Multiple Fronts

Gold in bitcoin is a meme. Everything is going to zero against bitcoin and so if you own gold, you are short bitcoin. Just like owning chairs. Any moment everyone will realise that bitcoin is the one true money and instantly. like through the Noah Effect. At that moment will become the borderline worthless commodity it deserves to be, a shiny rock. I'm not so sure.

With the latest international government disputes overheating, hopefully conflicts can be kept to just a full scale currency war from here. It is scary to see that in addition to war they will do almost anything financially to get at each other. So I think the currency wars are now starting full engagement. This means that all financial weapons will be used, no holds bared and all tools these simultaneously. We have seen this with the national asset forfeiture, sanctions and counter asset confiscations etc. Price manipulation will be ramped up, that's obligatory. The more things that can be done at once the better, and it gets complex. 

Though bitcoin is going to be the fastest and most powerful refuge here, I have a feeling that it will be volatile and that gold is going to still have a few strong moments before we make the transition that bitcoiners dream of. It's going to be a war fought on many fronts and at least this part of it is going to be long. Altcoins and CBDC's will come into it. It's going to be carnage, limit ups and also painful emotional downs. The next few years we have got to see gains in all these areas as printed money looses its lustre waisted on conflict. Gold I think will be a major front in this financial war. At the moment it's controlled, the front isn't moving that much, but this will have to break at some point. I think this could move a lot at a point when governments decide they have to try to control bitcoin prices instead. It is going to be difficult to predict.

This is why I am still happy with my strategy on etoro with a little bit of diversification and a lot of exposure to gold. Purists might rip into me but for initiated copiers I think a little balance is the way to go to help reduce the swings and reduce the fear. 

Get ready, secure your keys, stay private and stay humble. We may need to move fast or hide to stay out of the way. I'm pretty sure this roller coaster is going to get wild on a whole new level. Maybe gold can level out this roller coaster, it feels like it's getting dangerous. 

Friday 18 March 2022

Decentralised Enough?

"How decentralised does money need to be?" is the question that many proponents of altcoins will pose rhetorically when discussing the matter of bitcoin vs altcoins. They will say that things just need to be censorship resistant and resilient. Some centralisation can be ok if it allows us to still get a generally acceptable levels of  the things that come from this. I don't think so, it seems very vague and acceptable levels difficult to measure.

The answer for me is that money needs to be "MORE decentralised". That is that it is getting more decentralised over time. Blockchains are designed to last for a long time. This means that if your coin is not trending towards decentralisation then it will eventually become centralised. In order to prevent the system falling into this hole we need to keep moving away from it> Even if it is just a slight move it makes a binary difference over a long time. 

On top of that I think the money system is one of our most important systems. You could say money is the main artificial base layer of human coordination. I think at an absolute level it should be more decentralised as compared to basically every other system.


.

Sunday 13 March 2022

Keep Your Old Miners

To protect your value one must be prepared to hash against a 51% attack. It is a far flung outside near impossibility at the moment. But there may come a time. Miners are self defence.

Even if its not many hashes it is still honing your skills. 
Maybe the marginal energy use versus hash will have an effect considering energy prices would theoretically rise during an international style hash war. This would be a sanction like method we are all too familiar with at the moment.

Wednesday 23 February 2022

Start 9

 My next node project will be on Start 9. Really excited and inspired by what they are doing. 

https://start9.com



Get on SPHINX


I've been running a Shpinx node for a few months now and it is great, chat, photos, calls videos calls and podcasts all in the same slick set up. I recommend it, especially for content creators looking to monetise and for people who want to break out of the Zukerburger. 

Impervious - The Internet on Lightning

Layer 3 bitcoin is the new internet https://www.impervious.ai

You Can't Own Bitcoin You Only Know It

Can we stop saying own and sovereign, bitcoin doesn't recognise ownership, or the law or nations for that matter. Knowledge is all that there is. Math is the only law it knows. You don't own bitcoin you only know the keys or where they are, in that way ownership as we have known it is changed and we can have joint and amorphous knowledge systems. Owning is so last century. 

Wednesday 16 February 2022

Peak Irony - How Ethereum Has Saved us from the Metaverse.. Until Soon..ish

Toying with ideas about electricity and bitcoin is a new philisophical muse of the movement. Projecting into a future where the price of energy goes to near zero for bitcoin hodlers and near infinity for no coiners seems pretty clear. 

Only bitcoin winner need to be focused on energy costs and they seem to be getting it for less and less, where the general public are probably I think going to pay more of their fiat salaries to energy along with their essentials. The ecological effects of higher general energy costs in the short term I think are positive for the ecology. But according to boomer and new crypto enthusiast Raoul Pal, in an interview with Robert Breedlove, energy prices are trending down, not up, and have been for decades. This helped me relax about the plight of the uninitiated. It seems energy and electricity prices will not be likely to hurt the poor here, not from bitcoin at least. This also got me thinking about the same concept with Etherium not with energy specifically but with GPU's. The conclusion is a hilariously relevant take on the current state of crypto for the current technologically minded web3 world. 

Etherium mining has created a massive increase in the price of graphics cards and played a role in the chip shortage that has built up till now over the last few years. The price increase has tempered increased demand from the public for VR metaverse experiences. The public who have had nothing else to do whilst locked up from covid. The fact that the latest GPU can cost up to 10 thousand dollars and may not arrive for months can put you off setting up a serious VR cave and checking out. So etherium has probably played a significant role in preventing people from falling into the "metaverse" and I don't just mean Facebook I mean I kind terrible new digital life. VR and hyper computerised otherworldly ness have been restricted, by Ethereum which was supposed to be a key component of this kind of thing.

But it gets more bazaar as next up Etherium people plan to change their consensus mechanism from graphics card heavy proof of work to hopefully-energyless proof of stake. Something that has been talked about for years and delayed repeatedly seems like it might actually happen soon. This would mean that there could be a flood of GPUs and a glut in excess chip demand coming to market.A win for gammers and metaverse enthusiasts. Possibly a loss for the real world though.

//Soon imagine you might be able to get a RTX 3090 for $100 and people might run three of them just for fun. One for each eye ball and one for the big screen. The pull of the metaverse will be strong, high resolution, Mark Zurkerburger might actually take it all before we know it and a Ready Player One dystopia may be unavoidable. Vitalic monty burns twiddling away in a sensory deprivation pod simulator zooming in with an avatar at another Etherium foundation meeting. Hopefully chiming in on a way to manoeuvre the etherium back onto POW and merge ETC to a side shard, a VINE? Virtual Initial Network Engine actually merging ETH back into ETC with advanced compression to trying to cut Amazon web servers out of the equation.

I still like the forest and this is peak irony and that's why I am considering buying some etherium-classic not because I like it, but to save society from itself. No I'm not really, but if you're into that kind of thing makes about as much sense. Isn't that what Elon said? The most ironic thing is the most likely?